Michael Wilson vs Terry McLaurin
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Michael Wilson by 0.3 projected points (9.6 vs 9.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Michael Wilson faces SF, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Terry McLaurin faces SEA, the 25th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Michael Wilson by 2.5 points of value over replacement (-8.4 vs -10.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Terry McLaurin first (ADP 48.1 vs 76.1). If the model is right, Michael Wilson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Michael WilsonARI | Terry McLaurinWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | SF | SEA | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.6 | 9.2 | Wilson +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #22 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 170.0 | 167.5 | Wilson +2.5 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -8.4 | -10.9 | Wilson +2.5 |
| Overall rank | #83 | #88 | Wilson by 5 |
| Position rank | WR33 | WR36 | |
| Market ADP | 76.1 | 48.1 | Wilson +28.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 7 |
Should I start Michael Wilson or Terry McLaurin in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Michael Wilson by 0.3 projected points (9.6 vs 9.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Michael Wilson or Terry McLaurin in 2026 fantasy football?
Michael Wilson. He projects 170.0 fantasy points with -8.4 value over replacement, vs 167.5 points and -10.9 for Terry McLaurin (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.