Terry McLaurin vs Quentin Johnston
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 0.9 projected points (9.2 vs 8.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Terry McLaurin faces SEA, the 25th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Quentin Johnston faces BUF, the 29th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Terry McLaurin: a clear but modest edge of 5.9 points of value over replacement (-10.9 vs -16.8).
The draft market agrees: Terry McLaurin goes first at ADP 48.1 vs 91.1 for Quentin Johnston.
| Terry McLaurinWAS | Quentin JohnstonLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | SEA | BUF | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.2 | 8.3 | McLaurin +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #29 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 167.5 | 161.6 | McLaurin +5.9 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -10.9 | -16.8 | McLaurin +5.9 |
| Overall rank | #88 | #91 | McLaurin by 3 |
| Position rank | WR36 | WR38 | |
| Market ADP | 48.1 | 91.1 | Johnston +43.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 7 |
Should I start Terry McLaurin or Quentin Johnston in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 0.9 projected points (9.2 vs 8.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Terry McLaurin or Quentin Johnston in 2026 fantasy football?
Terry McLaurin. He projects 167.5 fantasy points with -10.9 value over replacement, vs 161.6 points and -16.8 for Quentin Johnston (WR, PPR).