Terry McLaurin vs Luther Burden
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Luther Burden by 0.4 projected points (10.4 vs 10.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Luther Burden faces GB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Terry McLaurin faces NYG, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Terry McLaurin ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 2.1 points of value over replacement (-11.7 vs -13.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Terry McLaurin goes first at ADP 48.1 vs 50.6 for Luther Burden.
Health note: Terry McLaurin carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Terry McLaurinWAS | Luther BurdenCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NYG | GB | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 10.0 | 10.4 | Burden +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #15 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 166.3 | 164.2 | McLaurin +2.1 pts |
| Points per game | 9.8 | 9.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -11.7 | -13.8 | McLaurin +2.1 |
| Overall rank | #89 | #90 | McLaurin by 1 |
| Position rank | WR36 | WR37 | |
| Market ADP | 48.1 | 50.6 | Burden +2.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Terry McLaurin or Luther Burden in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Luther Burden by 0.4 projected points (10.4 vs 10.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Terry McLaurin or Luther Burden in 2026 fantasy football?
Terry McLaurin. He projects 166.3 fantasy points with -11.7 value over replacement, vs 164.2 points and -13.8 for Luther Burden (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.