Courtland Sutton vs Terry McLaurin
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 0.5 projected points (10.0 vs 9.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Terry McLaurin faces NYG, the 15th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Courtland Sutton faces LAC, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Courtland Sutton ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Courtland Sutton by 2.1 points of value over replacement (-9.6 vs -11.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Terry McLaurin first (ADP 48.1 vs 61.6). If the model is right, Courtland Sutton is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Terry McLaurin carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Courtland SuttonDEN | Terry McLaurinWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LAC | NYG | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.5 | 10.0 | McLaurin +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #24 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.4 | 166.3 | Sutton +2.1 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -9.6 | -11.7 | Sutton +2.1 |
| Overall rank | #84 | #89 | Sutton by 5 |
| Position rank | WR33 | WR36 | |
| Market ADP | 61.6 | 48.1 | Sutton +13.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Courtland Sutton or Terry McLaurin in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 0.5 projected points (10.0 vs 9.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Courtland Sutton or Terry McLaurin in 2026 fantasy football?
Courtland Sutton. He projects 168.4 fantasy points with -9.6 value over replacement, vs 166.3 points and -11.7 for Terry McLaurin (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.