Alec Pierce vs Stefon Diggs
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alec Pierce by 0.6 projected points (10.0 vs 9.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Alec Pierce faces HOU, the 10th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Stefon Diggs faces JAX, the 19th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Alec Pierce by 0.6 points of value over replacement (-14.5 vs -15.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Alec Pierce goes first at ADP 69.7 vs 96.8 for Stefon Diggs.
Health note: Alec Pierce carries an injury flag of IR (Heel), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Alec PierceIND | Stefon DiggsNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | HOU | JAX | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 10.0 | 9.4 | Pierce +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #10 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 162.7 | 162.1 | Pierce +0.6 pts |
| Points per game | 9.6 | 9.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -14.5 | -15.1 | Pierce +0.6 |
| Overall rank | #92 | #93 | Pierce by 1 |
| Position rank | WR37 | WR38 | |
| Market ADP | 69.7 | 96.8 | Diggs +27.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Alec Pierce or Stefon Diggs in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alec Pierce by 0.6 projected points (10.0 vs 9.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Alec Pierce or Stefon Diggs in 2026 fantasy football?
Alec Pierce. He projects 162.7 fantasy points with -14.5 value over replacement, vs 162.1 points and -15.1 for Stefon Diggs (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.