Wan'Dale Robinson vs Alec Pierce
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Alec Pierce this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (10.3 vs 8.6).
Alec Pierce faces HOU, the 10th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Wan'Dale Robinson faces NYG, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Wan'Dale Robinson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Wan'Dale Robinson by 0.8 points of value over replacement (-9.7 vs -10.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Alec Pierce first (ADP 69.7 vs 86.6). If the model is right, Wan'Dale Robinson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Alec Pierce carries an injury flag of Out (Heel), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN | Alec PierceIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYG | HOU | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 8.6 | 10.3 | Pierce +1.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #30 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.7 | 167.9 | Robinson +0.8 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -9.7 | -10.5 | Robinson +0.8 |
| Overall rank | #86 | #87 | Robinson by 1 |
| Position rank | WR34 | WR35 | |
| Market ADP | 86.6 | 69.7 | Robinson +16.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Wan'Dale Robinson or Alec Pierce in Week 3?
Start Alec Pierce this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (10.3 vs 8.6).
Should I draft Wan'Dale Robinson or Alec Pierce in 2026 fantasy football?
Wan'Dale Robinson. He projects 168.7 fantasy points with -9.7 value over replacement, vs 167.9 points and -10.5 for Alec Pierce (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.