Courtland Sutton vs Alec Pierce
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alec Pierce by 0.6 projected points (10.3 vs 9.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Alec Pierce faces HOU, the 10th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Courtland Sutton faces LA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Courtland Sutton ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Courtland Sutton by 2.5 points of value over replacement (-8.0 vs -10.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Courtland Sutton goes first at ADP 61.6 vs 69.7 for Alec Pierce.
Health note: Alec Pierce carries an injury flag of Out (Heel), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Courtland SuttonDEN | Alec PierceIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | LA | HOU | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.7 | 10.3 | Pierce +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #21 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 170.4 | 167.9 | Sutton +2.5 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -8.0 | -10.5 | Sutton +2.5 |
| Overall rank | #82 | #87 | Sutton by 5 |
| Position rank | WR32 | WR35 | |
| Market ADP | 61.6 | 69.7 | Pierce +8.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Courtland Sutton or Alec Pierce in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alec Pierce by 0.6 projected points (10.3 vs 9.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Courtland Sutton or Alec Pierce in 2026 fantasy football?
Courtland Sutton. He projects 170.4 fantasy points with -8.0 value over replacement, vs 167.9 points and -10.5 for Alec Pierce (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.