Josh Downs vs Xavier Worthy
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.4 projected points (9.5 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Both face ATL, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Josh Downs: a clear but modest edge of 5.8 points of value over replacement (-31.2 vs -36.9).
The draft market agrees: Josh Downs goes first at ADP 94.8 vs 107.3 for Xavier Worthy.
| Josh DownsKAN | Xavier WorthyKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | ATL | ATL | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 9.5 | 9.1 | Downs +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #4 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 145.9 | 140.2 | Downs +5.8 pts |
| Points per game | 8.6 | 8.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -31.2 | -36.9 | Downs +5.8 |
| Overall rank | #111 | #115 | Downs by 4 |
| Position rank | WR38 | WR39 | |
| Market ADP | 94.8 | 107.3 | Worthy +12.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 5 |
Should I start Josh Downs or Xavier Worthy in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Downs by 0.4 projected points (9.5 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Josh Downs or Xavier Worthy in 2026 fantasy football?
Josh Downs. He projects 145.9 fantasy points with -31.2 value over replacement, vs 140.2 points and -36.9 for Xavier Worthy (WR, PPR).