MarShawn Lloyd vs Jordan Mason
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans MarShawn Lloyd by 0.0 projected points (6.1 vs 6.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
MarShawn Lloyd faces ATL, the 15th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jordan Mason faces TB, the 4th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes MarShawn Lloyd: a clear but modest edge of 9.2 points of value over replacement (-34.0 vs -43.2).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jordan Mason first (ADP 111.6 vs 112.3). If the model is right, MarShawn Lloyd is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jordan Mason carries an injury flag of IR (Thumb), which is already reflected in his projection.
| MarShawn LloydGNB | Jordan MasonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ATL | TB | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.1 | 6.1 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 102.6 | 93.4 | Lloyd +9.2 pts |
| Points per game | 6.0 | 5.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -34.0 | -43.2 | Lloyd +9.2 |
| Overall rank | #107 | #123 | Lloyd by 16 |
| Position rank | RB37 | RB40 | |
| Market ADP | 112.3 | 111.6 | Lloyd +0.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or Jordan Mason in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans MarShawn Lloyd by 0.0 projected points (6.1 vs 6.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft MarShawn Lloyd or Jordan Mason in 2026 fantasy football?
MarShawn Lloyd. He projects 102.6 fantasy points with -34.0 value over replacement, vs 93.4 points and -43.2 for Jordan Mason (RB, PPR).