MarShawn Lloyd vs Kyle Monangai
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans MarShawn Lloyd by 0.4 projected points (6.5 vs 6.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
MarShawn Lloyd faces ATL, the 15th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kyle Monangai faces PHI, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes MarShawn Lloyd: a clear but modest edge of 7.4 points of value over replacement (-28.7 vs -36.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Kyle Monangai first (ADP 108.8 vs 112.3). If the model is right, MarShawn Lloyd is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| MarShawn LloydGNB | Kyle MonangaiCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ATL | PHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.5 | 6.1 | Lloyd +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 107.9 | 100.5 | Lloyd +7.4 pts |
| Points per game | 6.3 | 5.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -28.7 | -36.0 | Lloyd +7.4 |
| Overall rank | #102 | #110 | Lloyd by 8 |
| Position rank | RB36 | RB38 | |
| Market ADP | 112.3 | 108.8 | Lloyd +3.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 10 |
Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or Kyle Monangai in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans MarShawn Lloyd by 0.4 projected points (6.5 vs 6.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft MarShawn Lloyd or Kyle Monangai in 2026 fantasy football?
MarShawn Lloyd. He projects 107.9 fantasy points with -28.7 value over replacement, vs 100.5 points and -36.0 for Kyle Monangai (RB, PPR).