MarShawn Lloyd vs Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans MarShawn Lloyd by 1.0 projected points (6.1 vs 5.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
MarShawn Lloyd faces ATL, the 15th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jacory Croskey-Merritt faces SEA, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes MarShawn Lloyd: a clear but modest edge of 7.8 points of value over replacement (-34.0 vs -41.8).
The draft market agrees: MarShawn Lloyd goes first at ADP 112.3 vs 115.5 for Jacory Croskey-Merritt.
| MarShawn LloydGNB | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ATL | SEA | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.1 | 5.2 | Lloyd +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 102.6 | 94.8 | Lloyd +7.8 pts |
| Points per game | 6.0 | 5.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -34.0 | -41.8 | Lloyd +7.8 |
| Overall rank | #107 | #121 | Lloyd by 14 |
| Position rank | RB37 | RB39 | |
| Market ADP | 112.3 | 115.5 | Croskey-Merritt +3.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 |
Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or Jacory Croskey-Merritt in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans MarShawn Lloyd by 1.0 projected points (6.1 vs 5.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft MarShawn Lloyd or Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 2026 fantasy football?
MarShawn Lloyd. He projects 102.6 fantasy points with -34.0 value over replacement, vs 94.8 points and -41.8 for Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB, PPR).