Aaron Jones vs Jordan Mason
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Aaron Jones by 1.0 projected points (6.6 vs 5.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Both face NO, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Aaron Jones, and it isn't close: 16.6 points of value over replacement separate them (-26.6 vs -43.2).
The draft market agrees: Aaron Jones goes first at ADP 101.6 vs 111.6 for Jordan Mason.
Health note: Aaron Jones carries an injury flag of Questionable (Leg), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Jordan Mason carries an injury flag of IR (Thumb), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Aaron JonesMIN | Jordan MasonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NO | NO | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 6.6 | 5.6 | Jones +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #14 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 110.0 | 93.4 | Jones +16.6 pts |
| Points per game | 6.5 | 5.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -26.6 | -43.2 | Jones +16.6 |
| Overall rank | #102 | #121 | Jones by 19 |
| Position rank | RB36 | RB39 | |
| Market ADP | 101.6 | 111.6 | Mason +10.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | IR |
Should I start Aaron Jones or Jordan Mason in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Aaron Jones by 1.0 projected points (6.6 vs 5.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Aaron Jones or Jordan Mason in 2026 fantasy football?
Aaron Jones. He projects 110.0 fantasy points with -26.6 value over replacement, vs 93.4 points and -43.2 for Jordan Mason (RB, PPR).