Jayden Daniels vs Malik Willis
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Jayden Daniels this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.9 projected points (11.8 vs 8.9).
Jayden Daniels faces IND, the 14th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Malik Willis faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jayden Daniels, and it isn't close: 25.7 points of value over replacement separate them (-67.8 vs -93.4).
The draft market agrees: Jayden Daniels goes first at ADP 75.2 vs 161.8 for Malik Willis.
Health note: Jayden Daniels carries an injury flag of Questionable (Elbow), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jayden DanielsWAS | Malik WillisMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | IND | MIN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 11.8 | 8.9 | Daniels +2.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #14 | #31 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 201.0 | 175.3 | Daniels +25.7 pts |
| Points per game | 11.8 | 10.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -67.8 | -93.4 | Daniels +25.7 |
| Overall rank | #151 | #196 | Daniels by 45 |
| Position rank | QB29 | QB31 | |
| Market ADP | 75.2 | 161.8 | Willis +86.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Jayden Daniels or Malik Willis in Week 4?
Start Jayden Daniels this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.9 projected points (11.8 vs 8.9).
Should I draft Jayden Daniels or Malik Willis in 2026 fantasy football?
Jayden Daniels. He projects 201.0 fantasy points with -67.8 value over replacement, vs 175.3 points and -93.4 for Malik Willis (QB, PPR).