Jake Ferguson vs T.J. Hockenson
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Jake Ferguson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (9.7 vs 8.6).
Jake Ferguson faces PHI, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. T.J. Hockenson faces IND, the 12th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jake Ferguson: a clear but modest edge of 8.3 points of value over replacement (-41.5 vs -49.8).
The draft market agrees: Jake Ferguson goes first at ADP 137.4 vs 162.0 for T.J. Hockenson.
Health note: T.J. Hockenson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Concussion), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jake FergusonDAL | T.J. HockensonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | PHI | IND | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 9.7 | 8.6 | Ferguson +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #3 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 150.8 | 142.5 | Ferguson +8.3 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -41.5 | -49.8 | Ferguson +8.3 |
| Overall rank | #119 | #126 | Ferguson by 7 |
| Position rank | TE19 | TE21 | |
| Market ADP | 137.4 | 162.0 | Hockenson +24.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Jake Ferguson or T.J. Hockenson in Week 7?
Start Jake Ferguson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (9.7 vs 8.6).
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or T.J. Hockenson in 2026 fantasy football?
Jake Ferguson. He projects 150.8 fantasy points with -41.5 value over replacement, vs 142.5 points and -49.8 for T.J. Hockenson (TE, PPR).