Jake Ferguson vs Hunter Henry
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
TE12
Jake Ferguson
139.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
TE15
Hunter Henry
128.4
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Jake Ferguson: a clear but modest edge of 11.2 points of value over replacement (-40.6 vs -51.8).
The draft market agrees: Jake Ferguson goes first at ADP 131.0 vs 155.0 for Hunter Henry.
| Jake FergusonDAL | Hunter HenryNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 139.7 | 128.4 | Ferguson +11.2 pts |
| Points per game | 8.2 | 7.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -40.6 | -51.8 | Ferguson +11.2 |
| Overall rank | #124 | #134 | Ferguson by 10 |
| Position rank | TE12 | TE15 | |
| Market ADP | 131.0 | 155.0 | Henry +24.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 11 |
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or Hunter Henry in 2026 fantasy football?
Jake Ferguson. He projects 139.7 fantasy points with -40.6 value over replacement, vs 128.4 points and -51.8 for Hunter Henry (TE, PPR).