Jake Ferguson vs Michael Mayer
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Jake Ferguson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (9.7 vs 8.0).
Jake Ferguson faces PHI, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Michael Mayer faces LA, the 26th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jake Ferguson by 4.2 points of value over replacement (-41.5 vs -45.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Jake FergusonDAL | Michael MayerLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | PHI | LA | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 9.7 | 8.0 | Ferguson +1.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #3 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 150.8 | 146.6 | Ferguson +4.2 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -41.5 | -45.7 | Ferguson +4.2 |
| Overall rank | #119 | #122 | Ferguson by 3 |
| Position rank | TE19 | TE20 | |
| Market ADP | 137.4 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | - | |
| Bye week | 14 | 13 |
Should I start Jake Ferguson or Michael Mayer in Week 7?
Start Jake Ferguson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (9.7 vs 8.0).
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or Michael Mayer in 2026 fantasy football?
Jake Ferguson. He projects 150.8 fantasy points with -41.5 value over replacement, vs 146.6 points and -45.7 for Michael Mayer (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.