Mike Gesicki vs Michael Mayer
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 0.8 projected points (5.5 vs 4.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Mike Gesicki faces MIA, the 4th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Michael Mayer faces NE, the 18th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 3.9 points of value over replacement (-93.9 vs -97.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Mike GesickiCIN | Michael MayerLVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | MIA | NE | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 5.5 | 4.7 | Gesicki +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #4 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 84.5 | 80.6 | Gesicki +3.9 pts |
| Points per game | 5.0 | 4.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -93.9 | -97.8 | Gesicki +3.9 |
| Overall rank | #185 | #198 | Gesicki by 13 |
| Position rank | TE26 | TE28 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 |
Should I start Mike Gesicki or Michael Mayer in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Mike Gesicki by 0.8 projected points (5.5 vs 4.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Mike Gesicki or Michael Mayer in 2026 fantasy football?
Mike Gesicki. He projects 84.5 fantasy points with -93.9 value over replacement, vs 80.6 points and -97.8 for Michael Mayer (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.