Ja'Marr Chase vs Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
WR1
Ja'Marr Chase
309.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR3
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
289.5
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Ja'Marr Chase, and it isn't close: 19.5 points of value over replacement separate them (136.3 vs 116.8).
The draft market agrees: Ja'Marr Chase goes first at ADP 3.8 vs 5.4 for Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 309.0 | 289.5 | Chase +19.5 pts |
| Points per game | 18.2 | 17.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 136.3 | 116.8 | Chase +19.5 |
| Overall rank | #5 | #9 | Chase by 4 |
| Position rank | WR1 | WR3 | |
| Market ADP | 3.8 | 5.4 | Smith-Njigba +1.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 1 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I draft Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba in 2026 fantasy football?
Ja'Marr Chase. He projects 309.0 fantasy points with 136.3 value over replacement, vs 289.5 points and 116.8 for Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, PPR).