Head to head · WR · 2026
Ja'Marr Chase vs Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Ja'Marr Chase
The model takes Ja'Marr Chase, and it isn't close — 19.5 points of value over replacement separate them (136.3 vs 116.8).
The draft market agrees: Ja'Marr Chase goes first at ADP 4.0 vs 6.0 for Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
| Ja'Marr Chase | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | CIN | SEA |
| Overall rank | #5 | #8 |
| Position rank | WR1 | WR3 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 309.0 | 289.5 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 136.3 | 116.8 |
| Market ADP | 4.0 | 6.0 |
Should I draft Ja'Marr Chase or Jaxon Smith-Njigba in 2026 fantasy football?
Ja'Marr Chase. He projects 309.0 fantasy points with 136.3 value over replacement, vs 289.5 points and 116.8 for Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, PPR).