Head to head · WR · 2026
Ja'Marr Chase vs Puka Nacua
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Ja'Marr Chase
The model takes Ja'Marr Chase: a clear but modest edge of 6.7 points of value over replacement (136.3 vs 129.6).
The room sees it the other way — drafters take Puka Nacua first (ADP 2.8 vs 4.0). If the model is right, Ja'Marr Chase is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Ja'Marr Chase | Puka Nacua | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | CIN | LAR |
| Overall rank | #5 | #6 |
| Position rank | WR1 | WR2 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 309.0 | 302.3 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 136.3 | 129.6 |
| Market ADP | 4.0 | 2.8 |
Should I draft Ja'Marr Chase or Puka Nacua in 2026 fantasy football?
Ja'Marr Chase. He projects 309.0 fantasy points with 136.3 value over replacement, vs 302.3 points and 129.6 for Puka Nacua (WR, PPR).