Ja'Marr Chase vs Amon-Ra St. Brown
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Ja'Marr Chase this week, and it isn't close: 3.5 projected points separate them (21.3 vs 17.8).
Ja'Marr Chase faces PIT, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Amon-Ra St. Brown faces NYJ, the 4th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Ja'Marr Chase, and it isn't close: 50.2 points of value over replacement separate them (147.0 vs 96.8).
The draft market agrees: Ja'Marr Chase goes first at ADP 3.7 vs 7.0 for Amon-Ra St. Brown.
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | PIT | NYJ | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 21.3 | 17.8 | Chase +3.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #3 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 325.5 | 275.2 | Chase +50.2 pts |
| Points per game | 19.1 | 16.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 147.0 | 96.8 | Chase +50.2 |
| Overall rank | #5 | #15 | Chase by 10 |
| Position rank | WR1 | WR4 | |
| Market ADP | 3.7 | 7.0 | Brown +3.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 1 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 6 |
Should I start Ja'Marr Chase or Amon-Ra St. Brown in Week 3?
Start Ja'Marr Chase this week, and it isn't close: 3.5 projected points separate them (21.3 vs 17.8).
Should I draft Ja'Marr Chase or Amon-Ra St. Brown in 2026 fantasy football?
Ja'Marr Chase. He projects 325.5 fantasy points with 147.0 value over replacement, vs 275.2 points and 96.8 for Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, PPR).