Puka Nacua vs A.J. Brown
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Puka Nacua this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.7 projected points (17.5 vs 14.9).
Puka Nacua faces PHI, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. A.J. Brown faces BUF, the 13th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Puka Nacua, and it isn't close: 51.7 points of value over replacement separate them (124.4 vs 72.7).
The draft market agrees: Puka Nacua goes first at ADP 3.3 vs 16.6 for A.J. Brown.
Health note: Puka Nacua carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hip), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: A.J. Brown carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Puka NacuaLAR | A.J. BrownNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | PHI | BUF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 17.5 | 14.9 | Nacua +2.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #18 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 302.8 | 251.1 | Nacua +51.7 pts |
| Points per game | 17.8 | 14.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 124.4 | 72.7 | Nacua +51.7 |
| Overall rank | #9 | #22 | Nacua by 13 |
| Position rank | WR3 | WR5 | |
| Market ADP | 3.3 | 16.6 | Brown +13.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | IR |
Should I start Puka Nacua or A.J. Brown in Week 4?
Start Puka Nacua this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.7 projected points (17.5 vs 14.9).
Should I draft Puka Nacua or A.J. Brown in 2026 fantasy football?
Puka Nacua. He projects 302.8 fantasy points with 124.4 value over replacement, vs 251.1 points and 72.7 for A.J. Brown (WR, PPR).