Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs A.J. Brown
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba this week, and it isn't close: 3.9 projected points separate them (18.8 vs 14.9).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba faces LAC, the 7th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. A.J. Brown faces BUF, the 13th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and it isn't close: 52.1 points of value over replacement separate them (124.7 vs 72.7).
The draft market agrees: Jaxon Smith-Njigba goes first at ADP 5.9 vs 16.6 for A.J. Brown.
Health note: A.J. Brown carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA | A.J. BrownNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | LAC | BUF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 18.8 | 14.9 | Smith-Njigba +3.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #7 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 303.2 | 251.1 | Smith-Njigba +52.1 pts |
| Points per game | 17.8 | 14.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 124.7 | 72.7 | Smith-Njigba +52.1 |
| Overall rank | #8 | #22 | Smith-Njigba by 14 |
| Position rank | WR2 | WR5 | |
| Market ADP | 5.9 | 16.6 | Brown +10.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or A.J. Brown in Week 4?
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba this week, and it isn't close: 3.9 projected points separate them (18.8 vs 14.9).
Should I draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba or A.J. Brown in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He projects 303.2 fantasy points with 124.7 value over replacement, vs 251.1 points and 72.7 for A.J. Brown (WR, PPR).