Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs CeeDee Lamb
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba this week, and it isn't close: 5.1 projected points separate them (17.9 vs 12.7).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba faces SF, the 17th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. CeeDee Lamb faces TB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and it isn't close: 50.1 points of value over replacement separate them (121.0 vs 70.9).
The draft market agrees: Jaxon Smith-Njigba goes first at ADP 5.9 vs 10.4 for CeeDee Lamb.
Health note: CeeDee Lamb carries an injury flag of Questionable (Quadriceps), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA | CeeDee LambDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | SF | TB | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 17.9 | 12.7 | Smith-Njigba +5.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #17 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 299.0 | 248.9 | Smith-Njigba +50.1 pts |
| Points per game | 17.6 | 14.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 121.0 | 70.9 | Smith-Njigba +50.1 |
| Overall rank | #9 | #22 | Smith-Njigba by 13 |
| Position rank | WR3 | WR6 | |
| Market ADP | 5.9 | 10.4 | Lamb +4.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 1 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 14 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or CeeDee Lamb in Week 5?
Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba this week, and it isn't close: 5.1 projected points separate them (17.9 vs 12.7).
Should I draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba or CeeDee Lamb in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He projects 299.0 fantasy points with 121.0 value over replacement, vs 248.9 points and 70.9 for CeeDee Lamb (WR, PPR).