Isaiah Likely vs Mark Andrews
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Isaiah Likely this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (9.0 vs 7.5).
Isaiah Likely faces WAS, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Mark Andrews faces ATL, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Isaiah Likely: a clear but modest edge of 5.9 points of value over replacement (-40.8 vs -46.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Mark Andrews first (ADP 133.0 vs 136.6). If the model is right, Isaiah Likely is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Isaiah LikelyNYG | Mark AndrewsBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | WAS | ATL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.0 | 7.5 | Likely +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #3 | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 137.2 | 131.3 | Likely +5.9 pts |
| Points per game | 8.1 | 7.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -40.8 | -46.7 | Likely +5.9 |
| Overall rank | #115 | #124 | Likely by 9 |
| Position rank | TE13 | TE15 | |
| Market ADP | 136.6 | 133.0 | Likely +3.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 13 |
Should I start Isaiah Likely or Mark Andrews in Week 5?
Start Isaiah Likely this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (9.0 vs 7.5).
Should I draft Isaiah Likely or Mark Andrews in 2026 fantasy football?
Isaiah Likely. He projects 137.2 fantasy points with -40.8 value over replacement, vs 131.3 points and -46.7 for Mark Andrews (TE, PPR).