Geno Smith vs Jayden Daniels
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Geno Smith by 0.4 projected points (13.9 vs 13.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Geno Smith faces BUF, the 21st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jayden Daniels faces NYG, the 6th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Geno Smith, and it isn't close: 30.2 points of value over replacement separate them (-44.0 vs -74.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Geno SmithNYJ | Jayden DanielsWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | BUF | NYG | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 13.9 | 13.4 | Smith +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #21 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 243.5 | 213.3 | Smith +30.2 pts |
| Points per game | 14.3 | 12.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -44.0 | -74.2 | Smith +30.2 |
| Overall rank | #127 | #160 | Smith by 33 |
| Position rank | QB19 | QB22 | |
| Market ADP | - | 75.2 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 7 |
Should I start Geno Smith or Jayden Daniels in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Geno Smith by 0.4 projected points (13.9 vs 13.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Geno Smith or Jayden Daniels in 2026 fantasy football?
Geno Smith. He projects 243.5 fantasy points with -44.0 value over replacement, vs 213.3 points and -74.2 for Jayden Daniels (QB, PPR).