Rico Dowdle vs Emmett Johnson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB32
Rico Dowdle
128.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB33
Emmett Johnson
123.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Rico Dowdle: a clear but modest edge of 5.0 points of value over replacement (-1.7 vs -6.7).
The draft market agrees: Rico Dowdle goes first at ADP 74.5 vs 163.0 for Emmett Johnson.
| Rico DowdlePIT | Emmett JohnsonKAN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 128.0 | 123.0 | Dowdle +5.0 pts |
| Points per game | 7.5 | 7.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -1.7 | -6.7 | Dowdle +5.0 |
| Overall rank | #74 | #85 | Dowdle by 11 |
| Position rank | RB32 | RB33 | |
| Market ADP | 74.5 | 163.0 | Johnson +88.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 5 |
Should I draft Rico Dowdle or Emmett Johnson in 2026 fantasy football?
Rico Dowdle. He projects 128.0 fantasy points with -1.7 value over replacement, vs 123.0 points and -6.7 for Emmett Johnson (RB, PPR).