Rico Dowdle vs Eli Heidenreich
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB32
Rico Dowdle
128.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB34
Eli Heidenreich
122.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
The model takes Rico Dowdle: a clear but modest edge of 5.1 points of value over replacement (-1.7 vs -6.8).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Rico DowdlePIT | Eli HeidenreichPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 128.0 | 122.9 | Dowdle +5.1 pts |
| Points per game | 7.5 | 7.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -1.7 | -6.8 | Dowdle +5.1 |
| Overall rank | #74 | #86 | Dowdle by 12 |
| Position rank | RB32 | RB34 | |
| Market ADP | 74.5 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 9 |
Should I draft Rico Dowdle or Eli Heidenreich in 2026 fantasy football?
Rico Dowdle. He projects 128.0 fantasy points with -1.7 value over replacement, vs 122.9 points and -6.8 for Eli Heidenreich (RB, PPR).