Head to head · RB · 2026
Rico Dowdle vs Eli Heidenreich
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Rico Dowdle
The model takes Rico Dowdle: a clear but modest edge of 5.1 points of value over replacement (-4.0 vs -9.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Rico Dowdle | Eli Heidenreich | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | PIT | PIT |
| Overall rank | #78 | #88 |
| Position rank | RB32 | RB34 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 128.0 | 122.9 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.0 | -9.2 |
| Market ADP | 77.7 | — |
Should I draft Rico Dowdle or Eli Heidenreich in 2026 fantasy football?
Rico Dowdle. He projects 128.0 fantasy points with -4.0 value over replacement, vs 122.9 points and -9.2 for Eli Heidenreich (RB, PPR).