Emmett Johnson vs J.K. Dobbins
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Emmett Johnson by 3.4 points of value over replacement (-6.7 vs -10.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take J.K. Dobbins first (ADP 88.5 vs 163.0). If the model is right, Emmett Johnson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Emmett JohnsonKAN | J.K. DobbinsDEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 123.0 | 119.6 | Johnson +3.4 pts |
| Points per game | 7.2 | 7.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -6.7 | -10.1 | Johnson +3.4 |
| Overall rank | #85 | #89 | Johnson by 4 |
| Position rank | RB33 | RB35 | |
| Market ADP | 163.0 | 88.5 | Johnson +74.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 10 |
Should I draft Emmett Johnson or J.K. Dobbins in 2026 fantasy football?
Emmett Johnson. He projects 123.0 fantasy points with -6.7 value over replacement, vs 119.6 points and -10.1 for J.K. Dobbins (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.