Darren Waller vs Pat Freiermuth
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Darren Waller by 2.8 points of value over replacement (-77.5 vs -80.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Darren Waller carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Darren Waller | Pat Freiermuth | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | MIA | PIT | |
| Overall rank | #173 | #180 | Waller by 7 |
| Position rank | TE24 | TE26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 95.2 | 92.4 | Waller +2.8 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -77.5 | -80.3 | Waller +2.8 |
| Market ADP | N/A | N/A | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I draft Darren Waller or Pat Freiermuth in 2026 fantasy football?
Darren Waller. He projects 95.2 fantasy points with -77.5 value over replacement, vs 92.4 points and -80.3 for Pat Freiermuth (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.