Brenton Strange vs Darren Waller
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Brenton Strange this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.3 projected points (6.9 vs 4.6).
Brenton Strange faces CIN, the 5th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Darren Waller faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Brenton Strange, and it isn't close: 15.5 points of value over replacement separate them (-72.5 vs -88.0).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Brenton StrangeJAX | Darren WallerMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | CIN | MIN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.9 | 4.6 | Strange +2.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #5 | #31 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 105.9 | 90.4 | Strange +15.5 pts |
| Points per game | 6.2 | 5.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -72.5 | -88.0 | Strange +15.5 |
| Overall rank | #153 | #167 | Strange by 14 |
| Position rank | TE22 | TE25 | |
| Market ADP | 162.8 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 |
Should I start Brenton Strange or Darren Waller in Week 4?
Start Brenton Strange this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.3 projected points (6.9 vs 4.6).
Should I draft Brenton Strange or Darren Waller in 2026 fantasy football?
Brenton Strange. He projects 105.9 fantasy points with -72.5 value over replacement, vs 90.4 points and -88.0 for Darren Waller (TE, PPR).