Head to head · TE · 2026

T.J. Hockenson vs Darren Waller

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

The model's pick
T.J. Hockenson

This one is a coin flip. The model leans T.J. Hockenson by 4.8 points of value over replacement (-72.7 vs -77.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.

The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.

Health note: Darren Waller carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.

T.J. Hockenson Darren Waller Edge
Team MIN MIA
Overall rank #167 #173 Hockenson by 6
Position rank TE23 TE24
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 100.0 95.2 Hockenson +4.8 pts
Value over replacement (VBD) -72.7 -77.5 Hockenson +4.8
Market ADP 157.0 N/A
Injury flag None Questionable

Should I draft T.J. Hockenson or Darren Waller in 2026 fantasy football?

T.J. Hockenson. He projects 100.0 fantasy points with -72.7 value over replacement, vs 95.2 points and -77.5 for Darren Waller (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.