Darren Waller vs Dalton Schultz
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dalton Schultz by 0.3 projected points (6.1 vs 5.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Dalton Schultz faces DAL, the 18th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Darren Waller faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Darren Waller ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Darren Waller: a clear but modest edge of 8.6 points of value over replacement (-63.3 vs -71.9).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Darren WallerMIA | Dalton SchultzHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIN | DAL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 5.8 | 6.1 | Schultz +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 115.1 | 106.5 | Waller +8.6 pts |
| Points per game | 6.8 | 6.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -63.3 | -71.9 | Waller +8.6 |
| Overall rank | #142 | #153 | Waller by 11 |
| Position rank | TE19 | TE22 | |
| Market ADP | - | 176.6 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 |
Should I start Darren Waller or Dalton Schultz in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dalton Schultz by 0.3 projected points (6.1 vs 5.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Darren Waller or Dalton Schultz in 2026 fantasy football?
Darren Waller. He projects 115.1 fantasy points with -63.3 value over replacement, vs 106.5 points and -71.9 for Dalton Schultz (TE, PPR).