Hunter Henry vs Darren Waller
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Hunter Henry this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (7.5 vs 5.8).
Hunter Henry faces BUF, the 16th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Darren Waller faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Hunter Henry: a clear but modest edge of 14.0 points of value over replacement (-49.4 vs -63.3).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Hunter HenryNWE | Darren WallerMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | BUF | MIN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 7.5 | 5.8 | Henry +1.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #16 | #31 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 129.1 | 115.1 | Henry +14.0 pts |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 6.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -49.4 | -63.3 | Henry +14.0 |
| Overall rank | #127 | #142 | Henry by 15 |
| Position rank | TE16 | TE19 | |
| Market ADP | 154.5 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 |
Should I start Hunter Henry or Darren Waller in Week 4?
Start Hunter Henry this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (7.5 vs 5.8).
Should I draft Hunter Henry or Darren Waller in 2026 fantasy football?
Hunter Henry. He projects 129.1 fantasy points with -49.4 value over replacement, vs 115.1 points and -63.3 for Darren Waller (TE, PPR).