Terrance Ferguson vs Darnell Washington
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terrance Ferguson by 0.5 projected points (5.6 vs 5.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Terrance Ferguson faces DEN, the 17th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Darnell Washington faces CIN, the 14th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Terrance Ferguson: a clear but modest edge of 9.2 points of value over replacement (-82.8 vs -92.0).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Terrance FergusonLAR | Darnell WashingtonPIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | DEN | CIN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 5.6 | 5.1 | Ferguson +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #17 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 95.6 | 86.4 | Ferguson +9.2 pts |
| Points per game | 5.6 | 5.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -82.8 | -92.0 | Ferguson +9.2 |
| Overall rank | #161 | #182 | Ferguson by 21 |
| Position rank | TE24 | TE26 | |
| Market ADP | 167.1 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 9 |
Should I start Terrance Ferguson or Darnell Washington in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terrance Ferguson by 0.5 projected points (5.6 vs 5.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Terrance Ferguson or Darnell Washington in 2026 fantasy football?
Terrance Ferguson. He projects 95.6 fantasy points with -82.8 value over replacement, vs 86.4 points and -92.0 for Darnell Washington (TE, PPR).