Kenyon Sadiq vs Terrance Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kenyon Sadiq by 0.6 projected points (5.8 vs 5.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kenyon Sadiq faces CLE, the 26th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Terrance Ferguson faces BUF, the 15th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kenyon Sadiq, and it isn't close: 15.2 points of value over replacement separate them (-74.5 vs -89.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Terrance Ferguson first (ADP 167.1 vs 168.5). If the model is right, Kenyon Sadiq is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Kenyon Sadiq carries an injury flag of Out (Concussion), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Terrance Ferguson carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Kenyon SadiqNYJ | Terrance FergusonLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | CLE | BUF | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 5.8 | 5.2 | Sadiq +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #26 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 103.9 | 88.7 | Sadiq +15.2 pts |
| Points per game | 6.1 | 5.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -74.5 | -89.7 | Sadiq +15.2 |
| Overall rank | #154 | #170 | Sadiq by 16 |
| Position rank | TE23 | TE25 | |
| Market ADP | 168.5 | 167.1 | Sadiq +1.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | IR |
Should I start Kenyon Sadiq or Terrance Ferguson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kenyon Sadiq by 0.6 projected points (5.8 vs 5.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kenyon Sadiq or Terrance Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Kenyon Sadiq. He projects 103.9 fantasy points with -74.5 value over replacement, vs 88.7 points and -89.7 for Terrance Ferguson (TE, PPR).