Kenyon Sadiq vs AJ Barner
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans AJ Barner by 0.6 projected points (6.2 vs 5.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
AJ Barner faces WAS, the 6th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Kenyon Sadiq faces DET, the 26th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Kenyon Sadiq ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kenyon Sadiq: a clear but modest edge of 8.1 points of value over replacement (-74.5 vs -82.7).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Kenyon SadiqNYJ | AJ BarnerSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | DET | WAS | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 5.6 | 6.2 | Barner +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #26 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 103.9 | 95.8 | Sadiq +8.1 pts |
| Points per game | 6.1 | 5.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -74.5 | -82.7 | Sadiq +8.1 |
| Overall rank | #153 | #160 | Sadiq by 7 |
| Position rank | TE22 | TE23 | |
| Market ADP | 168.5 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 |
Should I start Kenyon Sadiq or AJ Barner in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans AJ Barner by 0.6 projected points (6.2 vs 5.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kenyon Sadiq or AJ Barner in 2026 fantasy football?
Kenyon Sadiq. He projects 103.9 fantasy points with -74.5 value over replacement, vs 95.8 points and -82.7 for AJ Barner (TE, PPR).