Daniel Jones vs Michael Penix
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Michael Penix by 0.2 projected points (12.3 vs 12.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Michael Penix faces CHI, the 13th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Daniel Jones faces TEN, the 24th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Daniel Jones ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 6, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Daniel Jones: a clear but modest edge of 13.7 points of value over replacement (-70.1 vs -83.8).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Daniel JonesIND | Michael PenixATL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | TEN | CHI | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 12.2 | 12.3 | Penix +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #24 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 218.4 | 204.7 | Jones +13.7 pts |
| Points per game | 12.8 | 12.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -70.1 | -83.8 | Jones +13.7 |
| Overall rank | #159 | #174 | Jones by 15 |
| Position rank | QB25 | QB27 | |
| Market ADP | 160.6 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 |
Should I start Daniel Jones or Michael Penix in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Michael Penix by 0.2 projected points (12.3 vs 12.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Daniel Jones or Michael Penix in 2026 fantasy football?
Daniel Jones. He projects 218.4 fantasy points with -70.1 value over replacement, vs 204.7 points and -83.8 for Michael Penix (QB, PPR).