Daniel Jones vs Jayden Daniels
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Daniel Jones by 0.4 projected points (12.2 vs 11.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Daniel Jones faces TEN, the 24th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jayden Daniels faces SF, the 19th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Daniel Jones, and it isn't close: 18.1 points of value over replacement separate them (-70.1 vs -88.2).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jayden Daniels first (ADP 75.2 vs 160.6). If the model is right, Daniel Jones is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Daniel JonesIND | Jayden DanielsWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | TEN | SF | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 12.2 | 11.7 | Jones +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #24 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 218.4 | 200.4 | Jones +18.1 pts |
| Points per game | 12.8 | 11.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -70.1 | -88.2 | Jones +18.1 |
| Overall rank | #159 | #180 | Jones by 21 |
| Position rank | QB25 | QB28 | |
| Market ADP | 160.6 | 75.2 | Jones +85.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 7 |
Should I start Daniel Jones or Jayden Daniels in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Daniel Jones by 0.4 projected points (12.2 vs 11.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Daniel Jones or Jayden Daniels in 2026 fantasy football?
Daniel Jones. He projects 218.4 fantasy points with -70.1 value over replacement, vs 200.4 points and -88.2 for Jayden Daniels (QB, PPR).