Daniel Jones vs Cam Ward
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Daniel Jones this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.1 projected points (14.2 vs 12.1).
Daniel Jones faces PIT, the 6th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Cam Ward faces HOU, the 25th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Daniel Jones: a clear but modest edge of 6.6 points of value over replacement (-62.6 vs -69.2).
The draft market agrees: Daniel Jones goes first at ADP 160.6 vs 173.1 for Cam Ward.
| Daniel JonesIND | Cam WardTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | PIT | HOU | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 14.2 | 12.1 | Jones +2.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 30) | #6 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 222.6 | 216.0 | Jones +6.6 pts |
| Points per game | 13.1 | 12.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -62.6 | -69.2 | Jones +6.6 |
| Overall rank | #150 | #157 | Jones by 7 |
| Position rank | QB25 | QB26 | |
| Market ADP | 160.6 | 173.1 | Ward +12.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 9 |
Should I start Daniel Jones or Cam Ward in Week 5?
Start Daniel Jones this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.1 projected points (14.2 vs 12.1).
Should I draft Daniel Jones or Cam Ward in 2026 fantasy football?
Daniel Jones. He projects 222.6 fantasy points with -62.6 value over replacement, vs 216.0 points and -69.2 for Cam Ward (QB, PPR).