Harold Fannin vs Dalton Kincaid
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dalton Kincaid by 0.9 projected points (9.4 vs 8.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Dalton Kincaid faces LAC, the 4th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Harold Fannin faces CAR, the 30th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Harold Fannin ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Harold Fannin, and it isn't close: 24.9 points of value over replacement separate them (-9.4 vs -34.3).
The draft market agrees: Harold Fannin goes first at ADP 74.9 vs 147.3 for Dalton Kincaid.
| Harold FanninCLE | Dalton KincaidBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | CAR | LAC | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 8.5 | 9.4 | Kincaid +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #30 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 169.0 | 144.1 | Fannin +24.9 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 8.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -9.4 | -34.3 | Fannin +24.9 |
| Overall rank | #85 | #108 | Fannin by 23 |
| Position rank | TE8 | TE11 | |
| Market ADP | 74.9 | 147.3 | Kincaid +72.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 |
Should I start Harold Fannin or Dalton Kincaid in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dalton Kincaid by 0.9 projected points (9.4 vs 8.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Harold Fannin or Dalton Kincaid in 2026 fantasy football?
Harold Fannin. He projects 169.0 fantasy points with -9.4 value over replacement, vs 144.1 points and -34.3 for Dalton Kincaid (TE, PPR).