Dallas Goedert vs Mark Andrews
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 0.5 projected points (8.0 vs 7.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Dallas Goedert faces JAX, the 14th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Mark Andrews faces ATL, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dallas Goedert: a clear but modest edge of 5.4 points of value over replacement (-41.3 vs -46.7).
The draft market agrees: Dallas Goedert goes first at ADP 121.6 vs 133.0 for Mark Andrews.
| Dallas GoedertPHI | Mark AndrewsBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | JAX | ATL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 8.0 | 7.5 | Goedert +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #14 | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 136.7 | 131.3 | Goedert +5.4 pts |
| Points per game | 8.0 | 7.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -41.3 | -46.7 | Goedert +5.4 |
| Overall rank | #118 | #124 | Goedert by 6 |
| Position rank | TE14 | TE15 | |
| Market ADP | 121.6 | 133.0 | Andrews +11.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 13 |
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Mark Andrews in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 0.5 projected points (8.0 vs 7.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dallas Goedert or Mark Andrews in 2026 fantasy football?
Dallas Goedert. He projects 136.7 fantasy points with -41.3 value over replacement, vs 131.3 points and -46.7 for Mark Andrews (TE, PPR).