Dak Prescott vs Drake Maye
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Dak Prescott this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (21.0 vs 19.6).
Dak Prescott faces PHI, the 1st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Drake Maye faces CHI, the 5th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Dak Prescott by 4.1 points of value over replacement (19.0 vs 14.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Drake Maye first (ADP 51.8 vs 65.3). If the model is right, Dak Prescott is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Dak PrescottDAL | Drake MayeNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | PHI | CHI | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 21.0 | 19.6 | Prescott +1.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 28) | #1 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 311.9 | 307.8 | Prescott +4.1 pts |
| Points per game | 18.3 | 18.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 19.0 | 14.9 | Prescott +4.1 |
| Overall rank | #51 | #55 | Prescott by 4 |
| Position rank | QB7 | QB8 | |
| Market ADP | 65.3 | 51.8 | Prescott +13.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 11 |
Should I start Dak Prescott or Drake Maye in Week 7?
Start Dak Prescott this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (21.0 vs 19.6).
Should I draft Dak Prescott or Drake Maye in 2026 fantasy football?
Dak Prescott. He projects 311.9 fantasy points with 19.0 value over replacement, vs 307.8 points and 14.9 for Drake Maye (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.