Chris Rodriguez vs Ollie Gordon
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Chris Rodriguez this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (4.6 vs 3.3).
Chris Rodriguez faces PHI, the 7th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces CIN, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Chris Rodriguez, and it isn't close: 15.7 points of value over replacement separate them (-61.8 vs -77.5).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Chris RodriguezJAX | Ollie GordonMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | PHI | CIN | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 4.6 | 3.3 | Rodriguez +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #7 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 74.8 | 59.1 | Rodriguez +15.7 pts |
| Points per game | 4.4 | 3.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -61.8 | -77.5 | Rodriguez +15.7 |
| Overall rank | #139 | #154 | Rodriguez by 15 |
| Position rank | RB46 | RB49 | |
| Market ADP | 156.3 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 |
Should I start Chris Rodriguez or Ollie Gordon in Week 5?
Start Chris Rodriguez this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (4.6 vs 3.3).
Should I draft Chris Rodriguez or Ollie Gordon in 2026 fantasy football?
Chris Rodriguez. He projects 74.8 fantasy points with -61.8 value over replacement, vs 59.1 points and -77.5 for Ollie Gordon (RB, PPR).