Tyjae Spears vs Chris Rodriguez
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Rodriguez by 0.4 projected points (4.3 vs 3.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chris Rodriguez faces NE, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Tyjae Spears faces NYG, the 31st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Tyjae Spears ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tyjae Spears by 4.0 points of value over replacement (-60.5 vs -64.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Tyjae Spears goes first at ADP 129.8 vs 156.3 for Chris Rodriguez.
Health note: Tyjae Spears carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyjae SpearsTEN | Chris RodriguezJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NYG | NE | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.9 | 4.3 | Rodriguez +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 76.1 | 72.1 | Spears +4.0 pts |
| Points per game | 4.5 | 4.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -60.5 | -64.4 | Spears +4.0 |
| Overall rank | #139 | #142 | Spears by 3 |
| Position rank | RB44 | RB45 | |
| Market ADP | 129.8 | 156.3 | Rodriguez +26.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Tyjae Spears or Chris Rodriguez in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Rodriguez by 0.4 projected points (4.3 vs 3.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyjae Spears or Chris Rodriguez in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyjae Spears. He projects 76.1 fantasy points with -60.5 value over replacement, vs 72.1 points and -64.4 for Chris Rodriguez (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.