Chris Rodriguez vs Brian Robinson Jr.
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Rodriguez by 0.8 projected points (4.6 vs 3.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chris Rodriguez faces PHI, the 7th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Brian Robinson Jr. faces SEA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Chris Rodriguez: a clear but modest edge of 8.5 points of value over replacement (-61.8 vs -70.3).
The draft market agrees: Chris Rodriguez goes first at ADP 156.3 vs 161.9 for Brian Robinson Jr..
| Chris RodriguezJAX | Brian Robinson Jr.SFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | PHI | SEA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 4.6 | 3.8 | Rodriguez +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #7 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 74.8 | 66.3 | Rodriguez +8.5 pts |
| Points per game | 4.4 | 3.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -61.8 | -70.3 | Rodriguez +8.5 |
| Overall rank | #139 | #148 | Rodriguez by 9 |
| Position rank | RB46 | RB47 | |
| Market ADP | 156.3 | 161.9 | Jr. +5.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I start Chris Rodriguez or Brian Robinson Jr. in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Rodriguez by 0.8 projected points (4.6 vs 3.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Chris Rodriguez or Brian Robinson Jr. in 2026 fantasy football?
Chris Rodriguez. He projects 74.8 fantasy points with -61.8 value over replacement, vs 66.3 points and -70.3 for Brian Robinson Jr. (RB, PPR).