Zach Charbonnet vs Chris Rodriguez
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Zach Charbonnet by 0.2 projected points (4.7 vs 4.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Zach Charbonnet faces SF, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Chris Rodriguez faces PHI, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Zach Charbonnet by 3.5 points of value over replacement (-58.7 vs -62.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Zach Charbonnet goes first at ADP 145.8 vs 156.3 for Chris Rodriguez.
Health note: Zach Charbonnet carries an injury flag of PUP (Knee - ACL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Zach CharbonnetSEA | Chris RodriguezJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | SF | PHI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 4.7 | 4.5 | Charbonnet +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #12 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 77.9 | 74.4 | Charbonnet +3.5 pts |
| Points per game | 4.6 | 4.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -58.7 | -62.2 | Charbonnet +3.5 |
| Overall rank | #136 | #139 | Charbonnet by 3 |
| Position rank | RB43 | RB46 | |
| Market ADP | 145.8 | 156.3 | Rodriguez +10.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | PUP | None |
Should I start Zach Charbonnet or Chris Rodriguez in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Zach Charbonnet by 0.2 projected points (4.7 vs 4.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Zach Charbonnet or Chris Rodriguez in 2026 fantasy football?
Zach Charbonnet. He projects 77.9 fantasy points with -58.7 value over replacement, vs 74.4 points and -62.2 for Chris Rodriguez (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.