Brian Robinson Jr. vs Ollie Gordon
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Robinson Jr. by 0.6 projected points (3.8 vs 3.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Brian Robinson Jr. faces SEA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Ollie Gordon faces CIN, the 27th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Brian Robinson Jr.: a clear but modest edge of 7.2 points of value over replacement (-70.3 vs -77.5).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Brian Robinson Jr.SFO | Ollie GordonMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | SEA | CIN | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 3.8 | 3.3 | Jr. +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #21 | #27 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 66.3 | 59.1 | Jr. +7.2 pts |
| Points per game | 3.9 | 3.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -70.3 | -77.5 | Jr. +7.2 |
| Overall rank | #148 | #154 | Jr. by 6 |
| Position rank | RB47 | RB49 | |
| Market ADP | 161.9 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 |
Should I start Brian Robinson Jr. or Ollie Gordon in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Robinson Jr. by 0.6 projected points (3.8 vs 3.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Brian Robinson Jr. or Ollie Gordon in 2026 fantasy football?
Brian Robinson Jr.. He projects 66.3 fantasy points with -70.3 value over replacement, vs 59.1 points and -77.5 for Ollie Gordon (RB, PPR).