Chris Rodriguez vs Kenneth Gainwell
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Chris Rodriguez this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (4.6 vs 3.3).
Chris Rodriguez faces PHI, the 7th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kenneth Gainwell faces DAL, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Chris Rodriguez, and it isn't close: 17.0 points of value over replacement separate them (-62.2 vs -79.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Chris RodriguezJAX | Kenneth GainwellTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | PHI | DAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 4.6 | 3.3 | Rodriguez +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #7 | #23 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 74.4 | 57.4 | Rodriguez +17.0 pts |
| Points per game | 4.4 | 3.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -62.2 | -79.2 | Rodriguez +17.0 |
| Overall rank | #139 | #155 | Rodriguez by 16 |
| Position rank | RB46 | RB49 | |
| Market ADP | 156.3 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 10 |
Should I start Chris Rodriguez or Kenneth Gainwell in Week 5?
Start Chris Rodriguez this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (4.6 vs 3.3).
Should I draft Chris Rodriguez or Kenneth Gainwell in 2026 fantasy football?
Chris Rodriguez. He projects 74.4 fantasy points with -62.2 value over replacement, vs 57.4 points and -79.2 for Kenneth Gainwell (RB, PPR).