Drake Maye vs Cam Ward
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Drake Maye this week: a clear but modest edge of 3.0 projected points (13.2 vs 10.2).
Drake Maye faces BUF, the 15th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Cam Ward faces BAL, the 32nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Drake Maye: a clear but modest edge of 12.2 points of value over replacement (-43.9 vs -56.0).
The draft market agrees: Drake Maye goes first at ADP 51.8 vs 173.1 for Cam Ward.
| Drake MayeNWE | Cam WardTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | BUF | BAL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.2 | 10.2 | Maye +3.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #15 | #32 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 224.9 | 212.7 | Maye +12.2 pts |
| Points per game | 13.2 | 12.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -43.9 | -56.0 | Maye +12.2 |
| Overall rank | #118 | #132 | Maye by 14 |
| Position rank | QB25 | QB27 | |
| Market ADP | 51.8 | 173.1 | Ward +121.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 9 |
Should I start Drake Maye or Cam Ward in Week 4?
Start Drake Maye this week: a clear but modest edge of 3.0 projected points (13.2 vs 10.2).
Should I draft Drake Maye or Cam Ward in 2026 fantasy football?
Drake Maye. He projects 224.9 fantasy points with -43.9 value over replacement, vs 212.7 points and -56.0 for Cam Ward (QB, PPR).