Jalen Hurts vs C.J. Stroud
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start C.J. Stroud this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (15.3 vs 14.3).
C.J. Stroud faces DAL, the 10th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jalen Hurts faces LA, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jalen Hurts ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Hurts by 2.6 points of value over replacement (-16.0 vs -18.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Jalen Hurts goes first at ADP 75.9 vs 155.7 for C.J. Stroud.
| Jalen HurtsPHI | C.J. StroudHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | LA | DAL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 14.3 | 15.3 | Stroud +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #23 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 252.8 | 250.2 | Hurts +2.6 pts |
| Points per game | 14.9 | 14.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -16.0 | -18.5 | Hurts +2.6 |
| Overall rank | #82 | #87 | Hurts by 5 |
| Position rank | QB15 | QB16 | |
| Market ADP | 75.9 | 155.7 | Stroud +79.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 8 |
Should I start Jalen Hurts or C.J. Stroud in Week 4?
Start C.J. Stroud this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (15.3 vs 14.3).
Should I draft Jalen Hurts or C.J. Stroud in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Hurts. He projects 252.8 fantasy points with -16.0 value over replacement, vs 250.2 points and -18.5 for C.J. Stroud (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.